N.H. almanac says global cooling may be under way

N.H. almanac says global cooling may be under way


By The Associated Press

DUBLIN, N.H. — The Old Farmer’s Almanac is going further out on a limb than usual this year, not only forecasting a cooler winter, but also looking ahead decades to suggest we are in for global cooling, not warming.

Based on the same time-honored, complex calculations it uses to predict weather, the almanac hits the newsstands today saying a study of solar activity and corresponding records on ocean temperatures and climate point to a cooler, not warmer, climate, for perhaps the next half-century.

“We at the Almanac are among those who believe that sunspot cycles and their effects on oceans correlate with climate changes,” writes meteorologist and climatologist Joseph D’Aleo. “Studying these and other factors suggests that cold, not warm, climate may be our future.”

It remains to be seen, said Editor-in-Chief Jud Hale, whether the human impact on global temperatures will cancel out or override any cooling trend.

“We say that if human beings were not contributing to global warming, it would become real cold in the next 50 years,” Hale said.

For the near future, the almanac predicts most of the country will be colder than normal in the coming winter, with heavy snow from the Ozarks into southern New England. Snow also is forecast for northern Texas, with a warmer-than-usual winter in the northern Plains.

Almanac believers will prepare for a hot summer in much of the nation’s midsection, continuing drought conditions there and wildfire conditions in parts of California, with a cooler-than-normal season elsewhere. They’ll also keep the car packed for the 2009 hurricane season, as the almanac predicts an active one, especially in Florida.

But Editor Janice Stillman said it’s the winter forecasts that attract the most attention, especially this year, with much higher heating prices.

So in line with the weather and economy forecasts, the almanac includes information on using wood for heat: the best wood, how to build a fire in a fireplace, whether to use a wood stove and how to stay warm — all winter — with a single log.

Here’s the secret, popularized in 1777: Throw a log out an upstairs window, dash down the stairs and outside, retrieve the log, dash upstairs, throw the log out the window and so on.

“Do that until you work up a sweat and you’ll be warm all winter,” said Stillman.

Last year, the almanac correctly predicted “above-normal” snowfall in the Northeast — an understatement — and below-normal snowfall in the mid-Atlantic states.

New Hampshire, home of the almanac, saw the most snow in 134 years and missed an all-time record by 2.6 inches.

Established in 1792, the Old Farmer’s Almanac is North America’s oldest continuously published periodical.

The little yellow magazine still comes with the hole in the corner so it can hang in outhouses.

Boasting 18.5 million readers, this year’s edition contains traditional tips on gardening and astronomical information, and tide charts so accurate the government considered banning them during World War II, fearing they would help German spies.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac is not to be confused with the Maine-based Farmer’s Almanac, published “only” since 1818.

The 217th edition also predicts social trends such as sofas that measure body temperature, shopping carts that sound an alarm when filled with too much junk food, and closet shelves and hangers that talk to give advice on matching shirts and ties.

“I would really hate that,” Hale said. “What do you mean these don’t match? Of course they match! You kidding me? Pink goes perfectly well with yellow,” he joked.

Upholding its tradition of being “new, useful and entertaining,” the almanac offers tips on how to keep gardens alive, even in snow, and how to keep people alive, even for 100 years. Some examples: Take it easy, use your brain, laugh and flirt!

As printed publications fold around the country because of falling readership, Stillman says the almanac is keeping pace with the 21st century with a Web site that offers the printed version and supplements that can be personalized based on a reader’s ZIP code.

Hale said the magazine with the familiar features remains popular in a digital age because, well, it’s an almanac, and readers have said they like it being predictable.

“‘Oh good,’ they say, ‘Not everything is disappearing.”’

This year, after 154 pages of words of wisdom from scientists and other experts, the 2009 edition closes with words from children — letters to God from first- and second-graders.

One, signed Joyce, shows little kids know not to be ungrateful, even when faced with a big disappointment.

“Dear God,” she wrote. “Thank you for the baby brother, but what I prayed for was a puppy.”

Not registered? Click here
E-mail this
Print this
Guidelines for posting on bangordailynews.com

Bangordailynews.com is pleased to offer a forum for readers to react to our stories, discuss them and provide additional information. We are reluctant to delete comments, but do reserve that right for those who abuse our forum. For more on using this site, please see our terms of service.

The primary rule here is pretty simple: Treat others with the same respect you'd want for yourself. What does that mean specifically? Here are some guidelines (see more):

Comments
3 comments on this item

The Old Farmer's Almanac story is interesting and true. But, one sentence made my head turn from side-to-side uncontrollably...snow is predicted in northern Texas (?). There always is snow in northern Texas! I lived in Texas for a total for more than 12 years, and it not only snows in northern Texas from the "panhandle", but all the way down to southern Texas, even into Houston where my home was. I have seen snow in Florida and actually have photos of it in the Clearwater area. See..."Floreedah" is where yankees go to spend a few weeks a year to get a "tahn". With the obvious and apparent advent of "global warming", and the melting of polar ice caps, and ice flows, this will produce more rainy weather. As we are observing in Asia; in India there are floods now, Malaysia, Philippines, and other areas, too. Heavy rains are also a result of flooding causes, then as the air condenses the rainwater, it rains again. Notice how our rivers and the oceansides are gradually overtaking land areas. Almanac editor Janet Stillman failed to mention another way the old-timers kept warm for the winter instead of throwing logs out the window, and running after it...it is called, "bundling". It was popular before...before...oh, well. However, more serious, when I arrived permanently to reside in the Philippines, the temperatures that August 2000 were well above 110-degrees (F) in the day. It remained hot all winter that year with the temps dropping into the mid 80's at night on the first Christmas night I spent here. It seemed to stay in those ranges, and considering that the mid 80's were wintertime night temperatures...the daytime temperatures were unbearable. Especially from a person who thought Texas was hot! But gradually the daytime and nighttime temperatures came down. We are into September now. Our day temperatures run about 95 to 102-degrees, and the nights calm down into the (still) mid to upper 80's (F). Last year, I recorded the day and night temperatures on my daily business calendar. Christmas eve night, the lows were about 82-degrees (F). Christmas day it was 88-degrees. Maybe there is something to be considered to "global warming", but at least, on this island, we are getting temperatures we can easily suffer through. Rain is easier to shovel than snow, any way you look at it.

Hopefully Bangor and the coast of Maine will have more snow this winter then!!

send a copy to al gore didn't he invent the Almanac

You must be logged in to post a comment. click here to log in.

Powered by: Creative Circle Advertising Solutions, Inc.