BOSTON — The future of the massive Brayton Point Power Station in southeastern Massachusetts is again in flux, just seven years after it last changed owners.

And environmentalists say the bleak future in New England of the coal it burns is the key reason why.

In 2000, coal was the third-most-used fuel for electricity in New England, accounting for 18 percent of the region’s power. Now, it produces just 6 percent of regional power, according to grid operator ISO New England.

A variety of factors has reduced its imprint, industry watchers say: pressure from anti-pollution activists, the expense of upgrading older plants and regional energy preferences. But the biggest influence is the low price of natural gas, something the industry itself acknowledges.

“Certainly as long as natural gas prices remain low, the industry will face challenges,” said Lisa Miller of the American Coalition of Clean Coal Electricity.

Coal’s bit role in New England’s energy production is different than in the nation as a whole, where it accounted for nearly 45 percent of all power produced in 2010, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Owner Dominion said Thursday that it put the Brayton Point plant in Somerset on the market primarily because it’s focusing on businesses in states with regulated energy markets — unlike Massachusetts. In regulated markets, infrastructure costs can more easily be directly passed on to ratepayers. But dismal projected earnings for Brayton Point speak to coal’s increasing struggle to remain competitive, despite its history as a source of affordable power and the tens of billions of dollars Miller notes that the industry has spent on making coal burn cleaner.

Activists in New England who’ve worked for years to marginalize coal as a dirty, damaging source of power, say now that it’s down, they’re going to keep it from rebounding.

“A legion of active, knowledgeable advocates … are going to prevent that from happening by using every tool available,” said Jonathan Peress of the Conservation Law Foundation.

While natural gas is cheap everywhere, coal plant owners in New England must figure out how to compete with it while also maintaining often older facilities that need anti-pollution upgrades to meet tougher environmental standards.

“The rising environmental and economic costs associated with oil and coal have made it difficult for older power plants to compete against generators that use cheaper, cleaner fuel sources,” said Marcia Blomberg of ISO New England.

Some plants have responded to coal’s decreasing competitiveness by dramatically curtailing their use of it. For instance, the 45-year-old Bridgeport Harbor Generating Station in Connecticut ran its coal unit at just 15 percent capacity in 2011, compared with 86 percent in 2008, according to statistics compiled for CLF using data from the EPA.

And last year, Dominion asked for permission to shut down the 60-year-old coal- and oil-fired Salem Harbor Power Station, citing the prohibitive cost of the environmental upgrades. The station has since been purchased by a company that plans to build a natural gas plant there.

At five-decade-old Brayton Point, which also burns oil and natural gas, Dominion spent about $1.1 billion to modernize the plant it bought in 2005. But the estimated earnings are bleak. In a report Thursday, the day of Dominion’s announcement, USB Investment Research projected Brayton Point would lose $3 million this year and again in 2014.

Dominion spokesman Jim Norvelle said the environmental upgrades, due to be fully operational this year, secure Brayton Point’s future and make the company confident it will find a buyer. It projects to complete the sale in the first half of 2013.

The plant, located on Mount Hope Bay across the mouth of the Taunton River, employs 215 people and can provide power to 1.5 million people at full capacity, Dominion says.

Somerset selectman chairman Patrick O’Neil said he’s not worried the plant has a future, but he has concerns a low sale price could drop its assessed value. That would have implications in Somerset, which received a nearly $16 million tax payment from the station this fiscal year — just $2.5 million less than the town’s entire K-8 school budget for fiscal 2013.

CLF’s Peress said he thinks Dominion will struggle to find a taker. The environmental regulations and market forces that have decreased coal’s viability aren’t about to change, he said.

“It’s the continued succumbing of coal to its inefficiency and its obsolescence,” he said. “Let the buyer beware.”

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11 Comments

    1. Let’s see…… how many lungs do you get, and how much atmospheric pollution can they take? Gee, imagine if that stuff just continued to build up in the atmosphere! It would cause all kinds of problems, like climate change, sea level rise ….. oh, wait, I forgot. That’s ALREADY HAPPENING.

      How many bricks do you have to pull out of the wall before you notice that it’s not stable any more?

      1. My point, is to consider alternatives that work…ie: hydro, natural gas, tidal…windfarms  in Maine is not even close to making a difference in replacing coal fired plants.

        1. They are not meant to replace existing plants, not at the scale currently possible. What they do is help to forestall the necessity for building even MORE coal plants, when we have pretty well destroyed the atmosphere already. The population is increasing at an ever-increasing rate, and while this may come as a shock to some, it’s nevertheless true that all of those new people want electricity too.

    2. The Brayton Point plant’s net
      generating capacity is 1537.6 MW at maximum output. Of that 1537.6
      MW, about 1095 MW (71.2%) can be generated by coal; the remainder
      from natural gas or fuel oil.

      If you consider wind turbines rated at
      3MW each operating at a 25% capacity factor, you would need about
      1460 of these wind turbines to replace the coal-fired capacity and
      about 2050 of them to replace the plant’s total capacity, which is
      the number used in the 1.5 million “homes” estimate.

      To give those numbers some practical
      perspective consider First Wind’s Mars Hill facility, which consists
      of 28 @1.5 MW turbines. It would require about 146 Mars Hill sites
      to generate Brayton Point’s full capacity. It would require about
      104 of them to generate only coal’s portion of the total.

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