SHIP BOTTOM, N.J. — Forget distinctions like tropical storm or hurricane. Don’t get fixated on a particular track. Wherever it hits, the rare behemoth storm inexorably gathering in the eastern U.S. will afflict a third of the country with sheets of rain, high winds and heavy snow, say officials who warned millions in coastal areas to get out of the way.

“We’re looking at impact of greater than 50 to 60 million people,” said Louis Uccellini, head of environmental prediction for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

As Hurricane Sandy barreled north from the Caribbean — where it left nearly five dozen dead — to meet two other powerful winter storms, experts said it didn’t matter how strong the storm was when it hit land: The rare hybrid storm that follows will cause havoc over 800 miles from the East Coast to the Great Lakes.

“This is not a coastal threat alone,” said Craig Fugate, director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency. “This is a very large area.”

New Jersey was set to close its casinos this weekend, New York’s governor was considering shutting down the subways to avoid flooding and half a dozen states warned residents to prepare for several days of lost power.

Sandy weakened briefly to a tropical storm early Saturday but was soon back up to Category 1 strength, packing 75 mph winds about 335 miles southeast of Charleston, S.C., as of 5 p.m. Experts said the storm was most likely to hit the southern New Jersey coastline by late Monday or early Tuesday.

Governors from North Carolina, where heavy rain was expected Sunday, to Connecticut declared states of emergency. New Jersey’s Chris Christie, who was widely criticized for not interrupting a family vacation in Florida while a snowstorm pummeled the state in 2010, broke off campaigning for Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in North Carolina Friday to return home.

“I can be as cynical as anyone,” the pugnacious chief executive said in a bit of understatement Saturday. “But when the storm comes, if it’s as bad as they’re predicting, you’re going to wish you weren’t as cynical as you otherwise might have been.”

The storm forced the presidential campaign to juggle schedules. Romney scrapped plans to campaign Sunday in the swing state of Virginia and switched his schedule for the day to Ohio. First Lady Michelle Obama cancelled an appearance in New Hampshire for Tuesday, and President Barack Obama moved a planned Monday departure for Florida to Sunday night to beat the storm.

In Ship Bottom, just north of Atlantic City, Alice and Giovanni Stockton-Rossini spent Saturday packing clothing in the back yard of their home, a few hundred yards from the ocean on Long Beach Island. Their neighborhood was under a voluntary evacuation order, but they didn’t need to be forced.

“It’s really frightening,” Alice Stockton-Rossi said. “But you know how many times they tell you, ‘This is it, it’s really coming and it’s really the big one’ and then it turns out not to be? I’m afraid people will tune it out because of all the false alarms before, and the one time you need to take it seriously, you won’t. This one might be the one.”

A few blocks away, Russ Linke was taking no chances. He and his wife secured the patio furniture, packed the bicycles into the pickup truck, and headed off the island.

“I’ve been here since 1997, and I never even put my barbecue grill away during a storm. But I am taking this one seriously,” he said.

What makes the storm so dangerous and unusual is that it is coming at the tail end of hurricane season and the beginning of winter storm season, “so it’s kind of taking something from both,” said Jeff Masters, director of the private service Weather Underground.

Masters said the storm could be bigger than the worst East Coast storm on record — the 1938 New England hurricane known as the Long Island Express, which killed nearly 800 people. “Part hurricane, part nor’easter — all trouble,” he said. Experts said to expect high winds over 800 miles and up to 2 feet of snow as well inland as West Virginia.

And the storm was so big, and the convergence of the three storms so rare, that “we just can’t pinpoint who is going to get the worst of it,” said Rick Knabb, director of the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Officials are particularly worried about the possibility of subway flooding in New York City, said Uccellini.

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo told the Metropolitan Transportation Authority to prepare to shut the city’s subways, buses and suburban trains by Sunday, but delayed making a final decision. The city shut the subways down before last year’s Hurricane Irene, and a Columbia University study predicted that an Irene surge just 1 foot higher would have paralyzed lower Manhattan.

Up and down the Eastern Seaboard and far inland, officials urged residents and businesses to prepare in big ways and little.

The Virginia National Guard was authorized to call up to 500 troops to active duty for debris removal and road-clearing, while homeowners stacked sandbags at their front doors in coastal towns.

Utility officials warned rains could saturate the ground, causing trees to topple into power lines, and told residents to prepare for several days at home without power. “We’re facing a very real possibility of widespread, prolonged power outages,” said, Ruth Miller, spokeswoman for the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency.

Warren Ellis, who was on an annual fishing pilgrimage on North Carolina’s Outer Banks, didn’t act fast enough to get home.

Ellis’ 73-year-old father, Steven, managed to get off uninhabited Portsmouth Island near Cape Hatteras by ferry Friday. But the son and his 10-foot camper got stranded when high winds and surf forced state officials to suspend service Saturday.

“We might not get off here until Tuesday or Wednesday, which doesn’t hurt my feelings that much,” said Ellis, 44, of Ammissville, Va. “Because the fishing’s going to be really good after this storm.”

Last year, Hurricane Irene poked a new inlet through the island, cutting the only road off Hatteras Island for about 4,000.

In Maine, lobsterman Greg Griffen wasn’t taking any chances; he moved 100 of his traps to deep water, where they are more vulnerable to shifting and damage in a storm.

“Some of my competitors have been pulling their traps and taking them right home,” said Griffen. The dire forecast “sort of encouraged them to pull the plug on the season.”

In Muncy Valley north of Philadelphia, Rich Fry learned his lesson from last year, when Tropical Storm Lee inundated his Katie’s Country Store.

In between helping customers picking up necessities Saturday, Fry was moving materials above the flood line. Fry said he was still trying to recover from the losses of last year’s storm, which he and his wife, Deb, estimated at the time at $35,000 in merchandise.

“It will take a lot of years to cover that,” he said.

Christie’s emergency declaration will force the shutdown of Atlantic City’s 12 casinos for only the fourth time in the 34-year history of legalized gambling here. The approach of Hurricane Irene shut down the casinos for three days last August.

Atlantic City officials said they would begin evacuating the gambling hub’s 30,000 residents at noon Sunday, busing them to mainland shelters and schools.

Tom Foley, Atlantic City’s emergency management director, recalled the March 1962 storm when the ocean and the bay met in the center of the city.

“This is predicted to get that bad,” he said.

Mike Labarbera, who came from Brooklyn to gamble at the Trump Taj Mahal Casino Resort, thought the caution was overblown.

“I think it’s stupid,” he said. “I don’t think it’s going to be a hurricane. I think they’re overreacting.”

Breed reported from Raleigh, N.C. Contributing to this report were AP Science Writer Seth Borenstein in Washington; Emery Dalesio in Kill Devil Hills, N.C.; Glenn Adams in Augusta, Maine; Randall Chase in Lewes, Del.; Rodrique Ngowi in Boston; Ron Todt in Philadelphia and Nancy Benac in Washington.

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40 Comments

  1. If the storm does cause major devastation, I expect Republican politicians NOT to ask for or accept any Federal money for rebuilding their state’s infrastructure. They hate “government” so much–let them practice what they preach. 

    1. They will ask for it – and gladly take it – if they can take that money from Medicaid or Pell Grants or Planned Parenthood or PBS  – or any of that “socialist” stuff they don’t like.

      And heaven forbid that Grover Norquist waive the No New Taxes rule to pay for natural disaster relief.

      It will be most gratifying to see them come hat in hand to Obama – and even more gratifying when Obama effectively deals with this storm.

      Unlike the last president (he-who-cannot-be-named-by-the-GOP).

      Yessah

      1. Get rid of Medicare, PEll Grants, Planned Parenthood, PBS, Social Security, Welfare, etc. etc. etc.

        The only people who couldn’t hack it and cry like a river every time their is threat to their system of plunder are the whining Dependents who fail to see the inevitable, disastrous end to the completely unsustainable system of redistribution propped up on illusory wealth  by way of a dishonest currency.

    2. ah, watching the government you ‘hate’ steal the proceeds of your labor against your will and then not fighting to get some of YOUR money back via the halls of a corrupted congress is simply a boneheaded proposition….thus, not too much of a surprise when it comes from a democrat.

      According to your mindset, we should all just sit back and be perfectly happy while your party steals our money and throws it down ratholes like solyndra and the failed ‘stimulus’… 

      1. Liz and munbaght crack me up… They are so far left that they are almost touching the right side…LOL

      2. Republican leaders made sure the stimulus wouldn’t be big enough to give all the help that was needed, after GW Bush wrecked out economy. They were (and remain) invested in harming everyday Americans, planning to claim the resulting problems were President Obama’s fault. 

        As Paul Krugman notes, ” the financial crisis, and in
        particular the popping of the housing bubble, had two big effects on spending.
        One was that housing investment plunged from well-above-normal to
        well-below-normal levels. The other was that consumers suddenly increased their
        savings… Put these together and you have a negative shock on the order of 6
        percent of GDP. Against this you had a stimulus bill of $800 billion — except
        $100 billion of that was AMT extension that was going to happen anyway, another
        $200 billion was other tax cuts of dubious effectiveness, so you were left with
        $500 billion of spending, spread over more than 2 years — maybe 1.5 percent of
        GDP or less. It just wasn’t big enough to do the job.” [http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/05/on-the-inadequacy-of-the-stimulus/]

      1.  So that would make this similar to the last 2-3 storms we have had in the last month or so. Do you remember all of the hype around Irene last year and what did we end up with, a storm that didn’t even pack as much punch as the heavy rain storm we had the year before.  I don’t deny that this is a serious storm and will impact regions far south of here but as for Maine getting pummeled, the chances are slim to none.  If you look at how storms track you will see that over history the majority of them get pushed out to sea before they can hit land in Maine, it’s just a matter of how the jetstreams setup and move. Now I wouldn’t want to be on a fishing boat 200-300 miles of the coast of Maine when this thing hits, but I will be watching the rain through my window in Belfast and I will not be taking in my lawn furniture or grill and I guarantee that both will be right where I left them when this “Frankenstorm” ends. 

        1. let us see how this plays out. the say the coast of maine is supposed be pummeled with 60 mile and winds occasional gusts to 75 for 12 hours tomorrow night . let us see how many maine people are out of power and how long t takes to restore power.

        2. Of course Maine is not going to get pummeled but people are going to lose power, tress will come down and it will cause headaches for a lot of people. Even those living in the path are going to survive, well a few really not so smart people might die but the majority of people will live but a lot of damage is going to occur.

          This storm is also not going out to sea, have you not watched the news over the past 24 hours? You also might take some precautions because if we do get sustained winds damage will occur.

  2. What a bunch of total BS!   No storm will keep hurricane strength, this far north, this time of year because the water is cooling down and that saps a hurricane’s strength.

    This is all about the government flunkies scaring the people so they can enhance their power and control. It is also all about getting the people to go to the stores and buy everything they can so they will surely be ready when this “whopper to end all whoppers” (they are running out of horrible sounding adjectives lately, to adequately define just how bad they want you to be scared) so they have come up with “Frankenstorm” (????? How professional is a descscription like that?) to “worst storm in a hundred years and on and on ad nauseum.

    We always have food, water, flashligts, generator, fuel and anything else we might need, on hand at all times just because we are folks who like to be prepared.

    I have seen everything the weather could throw at us in 65 years, and I would be more scared to see a FEMA truck turn into my driveway than any storm that could possibly happen.

    I am sick of listening to people who are supposed to be “professionals” throwing around hype like this, just to scare people.

    1. Frankenstorm was the name used to describe the hybrid nature of the storm  – a warm tropical core with an extratropical outer structure.

      It will be at or near a CAT 1 storm when it makes landfall – and at 940 millibar central pressure, it will be a historic storm.

      You should take a vacation to the New Jersey Shore next week and tell us about all the “hype”.

      Yessah

    2. When was the last time all the weather models predicted nearly the same thing?  This is the only one that I’ve seen in my life time.

        1. I don’t think it’s going to be that bad up here, but the same has been said before about other storms.  Not many thought much of Irene, but look at the havoc that resulted from that.  It was bad enough up here that I’m still seeing the effect it has had on our more alluvial river systems, I saw where a  large portion of bank moved and it affected the land 50 yards in, sunk it right down and unsettled a building.

          1. Why people are comparing this storm to Irene I don’t know. This storm is nothing unlike Irene at all and because that didn’t cause as much damage or effect as many people as they thought a lot of people are blowing this storm off when they shouldn’t be.

      1. lol this is not true they always just make a big  deal about it where not gonna get hard at all. if we can handle winter storms we can handle anything

    3. We swam in the lake during hurricane Earl.  The rest of the entire lake was deserted.  It was great!

    1. they create mass panic. my brother is in the media business but he went independent of the networks. he does do videos for the networks though

  3. This is Maine.  Among other things it snows, it’s cold and we live with it. But it is fun to watch the hysterical weather forecasts.  If you are truly from Maine, you’re always prepared.

    1. Feel free to get in your vehicle and drive to NJ and then tell me how amusing and hysterical the weather forecast is. I find it amazing the lack luster attitude some of you take just because you live in Maine and think you can survive anything because you make it through the winter each year.

      Yes, in Maine people will survive but damage is going to occur in our state.

  4. Really typical to note that on a story of the possible consequenses of a major October storm, that a few left wingnut loons have to turn the comments to politics.
    How infantile and childish.

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